March 28th, 2023
Things are still quite messy for what's being issued, with all kinds of serial mixing. It seems the ARX plates are definitely over now, and the county has just been issuing Dolbys and Goldens simultaneously. It seems they're going through leftover AUG plates. I went to Grand Junction recently for a license plate club meet, and I got some interesting info on the way. Garfield County is currently issuing their own Dolby plates, late DDF and early DDG. They often get series near ours, such as their AMU/V near our AMS/T. This can make things quite difficult to track. I also noticed Mesa County got the AU plates just after ours - a smattering of late AUHs, AUIs, and AUJs are all over Grand Junction, going as far as AUL. Once April runs around, the new month of stickers will make it easier to identify newly issued plates, and I'll be able to pinpoint what we're issuing more accurately.
March 20th, 2023
It's been difficult to keep track of what's been being issued; I really haven't seen too many March stickers. It appears so far this month that they started with late AUF-Is, then did DDB-F, then properly issued DDB-G. After that, looks like they've gone back to the As, issuing AUG-Q. I assume they'll go back and finish issuing this weird AU series in random blocks before they go back to a normal series with normal progression. AUG-Q is pretty recent, being issued last Friday. Thanks random guy on my street who waited until the last day on his temp tag (the 16th) to get his plates! Watching temp tags and seeing when they go away is a good trick I use to tell what plates are being issued at a certain moment.
March 9th, 2023
Earlier today, I saw late AUF-I plates with March stickers. Turns out the latter half of AUF-I was issued in the first days of March, while the first half was issued well over a month ago. Furthermore, someone on my street just got DDB-F50. It looks like the Avon office has either packed up, or ran out of Golden plates. They made this switch, issuing DDB-H00 at some point in January, then went back to the AU plates. Now that nearly all of the alloted AU plates have been issued, it seems like they should be done issuing them, marking what should be the last of the A plates issued in the county. However, neither of those assertions are truly guaranteed, since they've switched between series rather sporadically recently.
Unlike the AU series, I do hope that the DDB plates (Dolby's) will be issued in order. So far, it does seem that DDB-H00 was issued before DDB-F, but I think that's just normal variation between the offices. The Avon office did appear to issue DDB-B and C, moving on to F as they should. DDB-D went to the El Jebel office, so I would imagine that Eagle received DDB-E, which I haven't seen yet. They seemed to issue the ARXs while DDB was issued the first time around. As usual, I'll keep a close eye on what I see on the road.
Finally, I wanted to touch on something I found interesting. There's a pretty clear class division at my high school between series. Seniors appear to have older plates, typically from the DP, BZ, or AM series. Juniors tend to have AR or AU plates, while Sophomores have been AU exclusively (the youngest sophomore became old enough to get their first car right when the AU series started).
March 8th, 2023
This is going to be a longer post, since I'm going to drop a bit of data. I've always felt that Eagle County had consistently newer license plates compared to the front range. I always saw older plates more often in the front range, but wasn't sure if it was just me, so I did an observational study on the matter. On the 4th, I marked down every Eagle County plate that drove by on the Frontage Road in Vail and crunched the numbers by format. The format I was especially looking at was the 000-XXX format issued from 2000-2013, excluding Qs issued from 13-15. These plates are what I consider "old" - because most of them show significant signs of wear, as the new base issued in 2000 is just terrible in terms of longevity.
My data proved correct: in Eagle County, 8% of plates were from this old format, while in Arapahoe County, 17% were. This is a significant statistical difference. The sample size for Eagle was 154, while Arapahoe's was 127. These results bring us a p-value of 0.01, which is statistically significant. For those of you who aren't uh... statistical geeks, that basically means that if we assumed Arapahoe County had the same proportion of license plates in that format as Eagle County did ( 8%), there would be a 1% chance that the results that we got in Arapahoe County (17% or more) would occur by random chance.
That said, this study wasn't perfect. For starters, the method of data collection was different. In Vail, I took down numbers of cars driving about, while in Denver, I took down numbers of cars parked in parking lots. To be exact, the lots were Walmart and Topgolf off Arapahoe Rd. This area of Denver is generally more affluent than other areas, which could somehow change the proportion of old license plates. Perhaps richer people keep their cars longer because they can afford more reliable vehicles. On the other hand, maybe the demographic of people at Topgolf are older and thus have older license plates. It's generally difficult to make a perfect observational study, but I feel that this was good enough to avoid heavily biased data. I would have liked to have a larger sample size, but I spent over an hour on the frontage road in Vail. There's only so many cars in a town of five thousand people, and I had some plates repeat that I had to take out. A census of every plate in each county would obviously be the best way to settle this for sure, but I have no access to that data and I see no way I could get it. And what's the fun in that?
With that data out of the way, there were some other points of interest. Eagle County had significantly more 82 copy plates (CXI, DPL, etc.) - 31% compared to 13%, with a p-value of 0.0001. That value is so low that it basically guarantees that the data proves the point. It seems that Eagle County, being much smaller, just happened to get several more plates from this format than the larger, more strict Arapahoe County. Frankly, Eagle County receiving that many plates from that format is weird. It's certainly an outlier.
Finally, Eagle County had 6 plates that were greenies. Arapahoe County had 0. Half of those plates were remade, which shows that when given the option to remake their old green plates, Eagle County had much more pride in their county-based numbers than Arapahoe did. Also, this correlates with how front range counties did a much better job taking these greenies off the road in 2000 than the more rural counties did. However, the sample size would have to be much larger to compare the proportion of these relatively rare greenies (I'll do this one day!)
March 5th, 2023
As part of my general allotment research, I've managed to find out one of Eagle County's future allotments (hasn't been issued yet). For starters, this allotment is being currently issued for motorcycles - I believe they're running through CRY-Q. The CRY part got my attention, since it's a word plate, and it's actually Eagle County's first. Word plates are pretty cool, and having the opportunity to get one is great. Yesterday, I saw CRX-I something running around in a different county. Since cycle plates come at the end of allotments, we can assume that we're going to get some regular plates between CRX and CRY. With that in mind, all the Honda enjoyers and depressed people of Eagle County can rejoice.
March 2nd, 2023
More ARX plates are starting to pop up. I've seen B through D, but A is yet to be issued. As far as I know, all the ARX plates issued so far were from the Eagle office. I know the Eagle office issued ARW-Z99, but ARX-A00 hasn't been issued. I imagine the Avon office has A00 and the other A and early B plates that haven't been issued. The new format XXX-X00 is uglier than the simpler XXX-000 or reverse, but having the fourth letter is a nice way to keep track of plates. I think it's easier to remember than a number. ARX-F was issued to another county, so the ARVers are definitely coming to an end soon.
I feel like the golden series is also coming to an end. Interestingly, I've only seen AUF plates for Jan/Feb issues, as well as some Decembers. 3 months is about the time it takes for the county to go through a full third letter block. With this in mind, if it's only AUF-AUH, we could expect it to last up to 9 months (3 more from now). Some fourth letter series haven't been issued yet. AUH-A, K, and L haven't been issued yet. The series ends at AUH-N, since that and later was given to Mesa County. AUG is the only full series, and those that haven't been issued yet include AUG-G, N, Q, and S. AUF is also incomplete, starting at AUF-G. We're yet to see AUF-G itself, as well as J, L, O, P, Q, R, and X. With that few plates remaining, it looks like the AU madness will finally come to an end within a month or two.
As for what's next, I have no idea. Perhaps the DDB series is larger than just A-F, and we'll start issuing that. Eagle County is seriously lacking in the "not A plates" department. Of our six new format issues, four were As. There's the random D we issued, and the BZ series. We should have several more B allotments that haven't been issued yet, and a lot of Cs, because somehow this county hasn't issued a single plate starting with C yet in this format. The Amsterdams (AMS/T, get it?) surprised me because they just finished issuing B plates at that time, and didn't think they'd go back to A. I thought it was going to be the last chance to get an A plate, then the ARVers came about, which I really thought would be the last, then the golden series. I'd be very surprised if Eagle County starting issuing another A series. However, it's important to note that there was only one relatively small POD block in the A series, which means a disproportionate amount of these A plates were shipped to counties. We're lined up to have something else in the AV, W, or X plates... but we'll see if we actually get them or move on to some B plate for once. Time will tell!